TCA Morning Real Estate Brief

Thursday, May 7, 2026 -- Industrial CRE focus, Southeast target markets
SOFR3.65%
10-Yr UST4.43%
Fed Funds3.50-3.75%
Core PCE3.2%
Natl Ind. Vac.7.0%
Ind. Cap Rate6.44%

ATop Stories

Invesco Real Estate buys Gateway One, West Columbia SC (252,720 SF, fully leased)

What happened: Invesco Real Estate (AUM $84.2B) closed on Gateway One at 425 Distribution Dr., a 252,720-square-foot fully leased distribution facility in West Columbia, South Carolina, per CoStar's May 5 reporting. The facility sits along the I-26 / I-77 spine between Charleston and Charlotte ([CoStar](https://www.costar.com/article/517550516/invesco-buys-fully-leased-distribution-facility)).
Why it matters: Confirms institutional demand for fully-leased, spine-corridor SE distribution product even with the 10Y back at 4.43%. The Columbia / Lexington submarket has historically traded at a discount to Charlotte and Charleston; an Invesco buy at this size sets a fresh institutional comp. Direct read-across to Greenville-Spartanburg, Lexington County and Mecklenburg-adjacent product.
Suggested action: Push CBRE / JLL / Cushman to circulate the unredacted comp; benchmark against TCA's I-77 / I-26 mid-corridor pipeline. If Invesco is reactivating SE acquisitions, target inbound BOV / call list for any TCA stabilized assets along the Charleston-Columbia-Charlotte triangle.

EastGroup begins construction on Skyway 3, Charlotte (156,000 SF, $20.4M projected cost)

What happened: Per EastGroup's Q1 2026 release (Apr 22), EGP started four development projects totaling 586,000 SF / approximately $84M in projected costs. Subsequent to March 31, the company began construction on Skyway 3 in Charlotte, anticipated at 156,000 SF with $20.4M projected total cost ([EastGroup Q1 release](https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/eastgroup-properties-announces-first-quarter-2026-results-302750818.html)). Skyway sits in the Airport / Westside submarket where C&W reported airport submarket vacancy improved 410 bps QoQ in Q1.
Why it matters: Skyway 3 starts shortly after Beacon Partners' 150,515 SF spec at 13021 General Drive (also Airport / SW Charlotte) is set to deliver this month. Two best-in-class shallow-bay specs hitting the same submarket, plus EGP carries a Moody's Baa1 / cost-of-capital advantage. Pricing pressure on TCA's small-to-mid-bay product in Airport, Westside and SW Charlotte is rising.
Suggested action: Run a same-submarket rent / TI comp scan of Skyway 1, Skyway 2 and Beacon General Drive; refine TCA's Q3 spec pro-formas. Skyway 3 will be the first EGP Charlotte start of 2026 and signals where EGP wants its Carolinas growth -- worth tracking for a possible JV / forward-take entry.

NC data-center moratorium domino: Orange, Rowan, Swain counties added in late April

What happened: Per the Raleigh News & Observer (Apr 24) and WRAL (Apr 24), Orange County set a one-year moratorium, with Rowan and Swain counties following the same week. Five NC towns (including two in Wake County -- Apex and Wendell) have passed moratoriums in 2026; Durham approved a 60-day moratorium; Cumberland will hold a hearing May 13. Sanford / Lee County opted for noise and building limits in the joint land-use code rather than a moratorium. NC's 2024 down-zoning law constrains how aggressively local governments can later restrict approved sites ([N&O](https://www.newsobserver.com/news/business/real-estate-news/article315488504.html), [WRAL](https://www.wral.com/news/local/central-north-carolina-data-center-plans-april-2026/)).
Why it matters: The moratorium map now stretches from the Triangle west to Rowan and the mountains -- materially reducing the universe of sites where hyperscale users can plant flag in NC during the next 6-12 months. With Compass-Brookfield pulling out of NoVA and Edgecombe primaries flipping over data-center votes, the developer-friendly counties left in the SE Carolinas have rising scarcity value. Prologis's Cleveland Township rezoning required a no-data-center commitment to pass.
Suggested action: Stand up a Carolinas data-center site-readiness scorecard: counties without moratoriums + with adopted DC zoning code (Sanford/Lee, parts of Mecklenburg / Iredell, eastern SC) get green; counties under active moratorium or political opposition get red. Use the scorecard to triage hyperscaler RFI flow and to pre-position TCA-controlled land in green counties for option / forward-purchase structures.

BOn My Radar

CTrends to Watch

DIdeas & Opportunities

GBackground -- already covered this week